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Yuncheng, Shanxi: The maximum amount of housing provident fund loans for families with two or more children is 1.2 million yuan. On December 12, according to the news of "Yuncheng Municipal People's Government" on WeChat WeChat official account, Yuncheng City, Shanxi Province recently issued "Measures for Yuncheng City to Further Promote the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market". The measures mentioned that for high-level talents, families with two or more children, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will increase by 20% on the basis of 1 million yuan; Optimize the "loan recognition" standard for housing provident fund loans; Increase the amount and frequency of rental withdrawal; Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase; In Salt Lake District and Yuncheng Economic and Technological Development Zone, those who purchase commercial housing (including stock houses) will open a green channel for household registration, and tenants will give priority to school-age children.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Medvedev: Trump is very talented, but ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in one day is a campaign slogan. According to the Tass news agency, on December 12, Medvedev, vice chairman of the Russian Security Council, said that US President-elect Trump's statement that he could end the conflict in Ukraine "within 24 hours" was his slogan to win the presidential election. Medvedev said, "Trump is a talented person. I think this is still the slogan of (Trump) to win the election. " (Reference message)

CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. On December 13th, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. This cooperation indicates that the two sides will jointly explore a new integration mode of track space and coffee retail. According to the agreement, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. will make full use of the development and operation experience of different types of commercial projects such as Shenzhen subway station, station city complex and complex, and cooperate with Shenzhen Luckin Coffee in depth, and set up at least 50 stores in the commercial space of Shenzhen subway.Sumeida: Its mechanical and electrical company won two standby power supply projects in succession. According to Sumeida, in the fourth quarter of 2024, Sumeida went all out to sprint the annual target task. Its mechanical and electrical company continued to deepen the domestic and international markets and won two standby power supply projects in succession, namely, the first-phase mechanical and electrical equipment room supporting project of China Mobile Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (Shaoguan) data center and the standby power supply project with an annual output of 100,000 tons of high-purity silicon-based materials in the Middle East.

Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.